able to access liquidity at a lower interest rate
The most serious problem in Portugal is not debt, but the imbalance in its external accounts. Correct the deficit is possible in two or three years, but change the trend of the trade balance takes time,” he said in statements EFE.
For Ferreira, the bailout was “inevitable” precisely because this imbalance between purchases and sales abroad Luso country is so large that it prevents the economy grow, and without growth there is no capacity “to meet financial commitments that face Portugal.
He argued that foreign aid “will gain time to carry out necessary structural reforms” to be able to access liquidity at a lower interest rate. “
Another disadvantage of Portugal is its low economic growth during the first decade of the century, coinciding with the emergence of the euro, which stood at 6.47 percent according to IMF data, the second worst figure in a list 179 countries compiled by the agency.
Hence, analysts already speak of the last decade as the “lost decade” of the country luso, with some significant differences-and similarities-what happened in Japan in the 90′s.
“Productive sectors were stopped being competitive with the entry into the EU from Eastern Europe,” he added Ferreira.
Another key factor to understand the rescue of Portugal is its political situation, with a Socialist government without majority support in Parliament and only maintained thanks to the abstention of the main opposition group in key votes, such as budgets for 2009 and 2010.
The rigidity of its labor market, the high degree of aging of the population or the profound social differences between the middle and higher incomes are other problems that will face Portugal, but now under the auspices of Europe and the IMF.
